February 5, 2012

Trade Plan for Wednesday(SBUX, WIT, GLD)

Posted on August 24, 2010 by in *TODAY'S STOCK SETUPS, GLOBAL CHART ANALYSIS, Trading Plan

1. Market Action
2. Open Positions
3. New Setups

MARKET ACTION
Scanning the individual names in the major indices speaks volumes to us about the state of the market.
The Nasdaq 100 only has 23 stocks trading above their 50 day moving average and the S&P 500 has around only 25% of its own components trading above this level. Many of these stocks look to be crashing out on profit taking as well.
We have now broken the recent lows and look like we could be getting ready to test the July lows. If the July lows break we could see another collapse to new lows. The market still has a chance to right itself if it can show some strength on Wednesday but Tuesdays finish was a real big disappointment. We did see some bids step in and this buying push us off the early morning lows. We love playing these types of wash out moves when they reverse and close near the highs of the day but we went from a reversal off the lows to an accelerated move lower. We also closed at the lows on heavy volume. This is very, very bearish activity and normally precedes lower levels. The only thing we have going for us giving us hope of a market recovery is we have already been down 4 days in a row and we are near the previous low support levels. This could give us a relief rally in the next day or 2. At this rate this rally should be smacked back down on heavy volume at resistance levels.

OPEN POSITIONS
We were stopped out of WIT with about a 5% loss. If you were awhile enough you could have taken some profits in the first couple days of this trade as it ran nearly 4%.

We were also stopped out on SBUX at near breakeven after a run of over 21%. Profits should have obviously been booked along the way and there were many opportunities to close out the entire trade but we kept a portion of the position open just to let it run.


NEW SETUPS
We have no new setups due to market conditions.

BUY RULES

*We look to buy our setups when they break at least 10 cents above the prior days high.  This gives us confirmation that the setup should continue higher and increases the odds of an explosive move.  Depending on market conditions we will look to start taking profits on ½ position when we get a move of 3%-5%.  We then move our stop to breakeven for the remaining position and let it run in hopes of massive gains. 

Disclaimer:

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